[Limdep Nlogit List] LIMDEP and Stata Yield very different results in Multivariate Probit

William Greene wgreene at stern.nyu.edu
Fri Mar 18 11:22:32 AEDT 2016


Fred.  The estimates are not that far apart.  And, note that the log
likelihood
values are essentially the same.  I can tell you that nlogit is using the
GHK simulator
to do the estimation.  I do not know what Stata is doing.  You can be sure
that the
estimated coefficients are very sensitive to the values of the correlation
coefficients.
But, in order to compare the results, you should probably compare the
estimated
partial effects.  I don't know if Stata knows how to do that.  The nlogit
command is
described in the manual.
/B. Greene

On Thu, Mar 17, 2016 at 6:30 PM, Fred Dzanku <fdzanku at gmail.com> wrote:

> Dear Users, I estimated a trivariate probit model (with clustering) in
> Limdep and Stata. Surprisingly, the results (particularly) the standard
> errors are very different, yielding very different inference. In Stata I
> used the mvprobit command (written by Lorenzo Cappellari and Stephen P.
> Jenkins). The difference is indeed shocking. Does anyone know why this
> might
> be the case?
>
>
>
> The specification is:
>
> y1 = f1(y2, y3, x1, x2, x3)
> y2 = f2(x1, x2, x3, x4, x5)
> y3 = f3(x2, x3, x4, x6)
>
>
>
> In Limdep I wrote:
>
>
>
> Sample    ;all $
>
> Skip $
>
> Mprobit  ;Lhs=y1,y2,y3
>
>          ;eq1=y2,y3,x1,x2,x3,one
>
>          ;eq2=x1,x2,x3,x4,x5,one
>
>         ;eq3=x2,x3,x4,x6,one
>
>         ;pts=200;cluster=vid $
>
> And the results were:
>
>
>
> Normal exit from iterations. Exit status=0.
>
> +---------------------------------------------+
> | Multivariate Probit Model:  3 equations.    |
> | Maximum Likelihood Estimates                |
> | Model estimated: Mar 17, 2016 at 00:29:05AM.|
> | Dependent variable             MVProbit     |
> | Weighting variable                 None     |
> | Number of observations              650     |
> | Iterations completed                 33     |
> | Log likelihood function       -1242.182     |
> | Number of parameters                 20     |
> | Info. Criterion: AIC =          3.88364     |
> |   Finite Sample: AIC =          3.88569     |
> | Info. Criterion: BIC =          4.02139     |
> | Info. Criterion:HQIC =          3.93707     |
> | Replications for simulated probs. = 200     |
> +---------------------------------------------+
> +---------------------------------------------------------------------+
> | Covariance matrix for the model is adjusted for data clustering.    |
> | Sample of    650 observations contained     66 clusters defined by  |
> | variable VID      which identifies by a value a cluster ID.         |
> | Sample of    650 observations contained      1 strata defined by    |
> |    650 observations (fixed number) in each stratum.                 |
> +---------------------------------------------------------------------+
> +--------+--------------+----------------+--------+--------+----------+
> |Variable| Coefficient  | Standard Error |b/St.Er.|P[|Z|>z]| Mean of X|
> +--------+--------------+----------------+--------+--------+----------+
> ---------+Index function for Y1
>  Y2      |     .84344025      5.74939391      .147   .8834    .38000000
>  Y3      |     .42013852      3.25958960      .129   .8974    .35538462
>  X1      |    -.00806300       .00860756     -.937   .3489   46.6107692
>  X2      |     .31793308       .71794537      .443   .6579    .34307692
>  X3      |     .01468727       .00840065     1.748   .0804   11.2224103
>  Constant|    -.31411643       .77762634     -.404   .6863
> ---------+Index function for Y2
>  X1      |     .00779023       .00104284     7.470   .0000   46.6107692
>  X2      |     .16831606       .00775319    21.709   .0000    .34307692
>  X3      |    -.00663025       .00072659    -9.125   .0000   11.2224103
>  X4      |     .14847431       .14394530     1.031   .3023    .28923077
>  X5      |     .04544672       .05689766      .799   .4244    .11538462
>  Constant|    -.70426701       .08723116    -8.074   .0000
> ---------+Index function for Y3
>  X2      |     .17303656       .01161279    14.901   .0000    .34307692
>  X3      |     .00272569       .00050864     5.359   .0000   11.2224103
>  X4      |     .19051601       .05574615     3.418   .0006    .28923077
>  X6      |     .42854019       .04664493     9.187   .0000    .07692308
>  Constant|    -.55390573       .03198934   -17.315   .0000
> ---------+Correlation coefficients
>  R(01,02)|    -.58312487      3.20681595     -.182   .8557
>  R(01,03)|    -.44115615      1.23356392     -.358   .7206
>  R(02,03)|     .40497242       .00399374   101.402   .0000
>
>
>
> In Stata I estimated:
>
>
>
> mvprobit (y1 y2 y3 x1 x2 x3) (y2 x1 x2 x3 x4 x5) (y3 x2 x3 x4 x6),
> cluster(vid) draw(200) nolog seed(1003)
>
> with the following results:
>
>
>
> Multivariate probit (MSL, # draws = 200)          Number of obs   =
> 650
>                                                   Wald chi2(14)   =
> 248.37
> Log pseudolikelihood = -1241.6481                 Prob > chi2     =
> 0.0000
>
>                                    (Std. Err. adjusted for 66 clusters in
> vid)
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> --
>              |               Robust
>              |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf.
> Interval]
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
> y1           |
>           y2 |   1.343666    .234929     5.72   0.000     .8832137
> 1.804118
>           y3 |   -.465239   .7326024    -0.64   0.525    -1.901113
> .9706353
>           x1 |    -.00879   .0037455    -2.35   0.019    -.0161311
> -.001449
>           x2 |   .2877144   .1807015     1.59   0.111    -.0664541
> .6418829
>           x3 |   .0162344   .0078329     2.07   0.038     .0008822
> .0315867
>        _cons |  -.1612781   .3041286    -0.53   0.596    -.7573591
> .4348029
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
> y2           |
>           x1 |   .0075814   .0042735     1.77   0.076    -.0007944
> .0159573
>           x2 |   .1548884   .0846257     1.83   0.067    -.0109749
> .3207516
>           x3 |  -.0071789   .0064509    -1.11   0.266    -.0198224
> .0054645
>           x4 |   .1732857   .0972146     1.78   0.075    -.0172514
> .3638228
>           x5 |   .0102722   .1315351     0.08   0.938    -.2475319
> .2680762
>        _cons |  -.6934089   .2054128    -3.38   0.001    -1.096011
> -.2908072
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
> y3           |
>           x2 |   .1702344   .0881082     1.93   0.053    -.0024546
> .3429234
>           x3 |   .0032607   .0058996     0.55   0.580    -.0083022
> .0148237
>           x4 |   .1644255   .1287772     1.28   0.202    -.0879732
> .4168241
>           x6 |   .4566752   .2159169     2.12   0.034     .0334859
> .8798645
>        _cons |   -.554203   .1180065    -4.70   0.000    -.7854915
> -.3229145
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
>     /atrho21 |  -1.052254   .6801192    -1.55   0.122    -2.385263
> .2807557
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
>     /atrho31 |   .0235009   .4724996     0.05   0.960    -.9025812
> .9495831
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
>     /atrho32 |   .4372824   .0815021     5.37   0.000     .2775413
> .5970236
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
>        rho21 |  -.7826809   .2634854    -2.97   0.003    -.9831906
> .2736043
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
>        rho31 |   .0234966   .4722387     0.05   0.960    -.7175524
> .7395942
>
> -------------+--------------------------------------------------------------
> --
>        rho32 |   .4113893   .0677086     6.08   0.000      .270628
> .5349282
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> --
>
>
>
> Other programs in Stata such as gsem and cmp yield estimates that are
> closer
> to the mvprobit estimates. What might be the problem here?
>
>
>
> Fred
>
>
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> Limdep site list
> Limdep at limdep.itls.usyd.edu.au
> http://limdep.itls.usyd.edu.au
>



-- 
William Greene
Department of Economics
Stern School of Business, New York University
44 West 4 St., 7-90
New York, NY, 10012
URL: http://people.stern.nyu.edu/wgreene
Email: wgreene at stern.nyu.edu
Ph. +1.212.998.0876


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