[SydPhil] Notification: Branden Fitelson *NOTE TIME* @ Wed 21 Aug 2019 11:00 - 13:00 (AEST) (Current Projects)
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Thu Aug 15 10:59:47 AEST 2019
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Title: Branden Fitelson *NOTE TIME*
TITLE. "How to model the probabilities of conditionals"
ABSTRACT. David Lewis (and others) have famously argued against Adams's
Thesis (that the probability of a conditional is the conditional
probability of its consequent, given it antecedent) by proving
various "triviality results." In this paper, I argue for two theses -- one
negative and one positive. The negative thesis is that the "triviality
results" do not support the rejection of Adams's Thesis, because
Lewisian "triviality based" arguments against Adams's Thesis rest on an
implausibly strong understanding of what it takes for some credal
constraint to be a rational requirement (an understanding which Lewis
himself later abandoned in other contexts). The positive thesis is that
there is a simple (and plausible) way of modeling the probabilities of
conditionals, which (a) obeys Adams's Thesis, and (b) avoids all of the
existing triviality results.
When: Wed 21 Aug 2019 11:00 – 13:00 Eastern Australia Time - Sydney
Calendar: Current Projects
* Kristie Miller- creator
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