[Limdep Nlogit List] problems with cluster adjustment to variancesin ordered probit

Durham, Cathy cathy.durham at oregonstate.edu
Tue Feb 5 04:13:11 EST 2008


I am not familiar with the cluster option, but did you check to see if
any of the 'fixed' results  variables were constant within a cluster?
If they are I would suspect that is the problem.

-----Original Message-----
From: limdep-bounces at limdep.itls.usyd.edu.au
[mailto:limdep-bounces at limdep.itls.usyd.edu.au] On Behalf Of Peter Glick
Sent: Thursday, January 31, 2008 2:45 PM
To: limdep at limdep.itls.usyd.edu.au
Subject: [Limdep Nlogit List] problems with cluster adjustment to
variancesin ordered probit

Hello,

I am using the 'cluster' option in Nlogit4 with an ordered probit model
of 
years of schooling.   The clusters are schools.  The adjusted standard 
errors make sense as long as I don't  also allow for censoring arising
from 
some in the sample still being in school.  Allowing for censoring
without 
the adjustment is fine, but when 'Cluster' is used the program seems
unable 
to compute the variances (see model output below: many coefficient
standard 
errors are missing and labeled 'fixed parameters').

Is there a logical reason for this (and any solution)?  My thinking was 
that the censoring would somehow be affecting the number of
within-cluster 
observations used to correct the standard errors, but I can't see why
this 
would be the case.  (there are 14 individuals on average per cluster,
and 
censoring is high, over 60% of the sample).

Thanks for any insight.

Peter Glick

Below, the model output without using the cluster option follows the
model 
with the option.


Normal exit from iterations. Exit status=0.
+---------------------------------------------+
| Ordered Probability Model                   |
| Maximum Likelihood Estimates                |
| Model estimated: Jan 31, 2008 at 03:37:01PM.|
| Dependent variable             GRADATT1     |
| Weighting variable                 None     |
| Number of observations              834     |
| Iterations completed                 49     |
| Log likelihood function       -879.4733     |
| Number of parameters                 38     |
| Info. Criterion: AIC =          2.20018     |
|   Finite Sample: AIC =          2.20465     |
| Info. Criterion: BIC =          2.41552     |
| Info. Criterion:HQIC =          2.28274     |
| Restricted log likelihood     -1547.237     |
| McFadden Pseudo R-squared      .4315847     |
| Chi squared                    1335.528     |
| Degrees of freedom                   30     |
| Prob[ChiSqd > value] =         .0000000     |
| Underlying probabilities based on Normal    |
+---------------------------------------------+

+---------------------------------------------+
| Ordered Probability Model                   |
| Cell frequencies for outcomes               |
|  Y Count Freq  Y Count Freq  Y Count Freq   |
|  0     1 .002  1    18 .021  2    46 .055   |
|  3    74 .088  4   134 .160  5   263 .315   |
|  6   108 .129  7   144 .172  8    45 .053   |
| Censoring indicator is DROPOUT              |
| Total observations =    834.0               |
| Uncensored =    306.0, censored =    528.0  |
+---------------------------------------------+
+---------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Covariance matrix for the model is adjusted for data clustering.    |
| Sample of    834 observations contained     60 clusters defined by  |
| variable NUMECOLE which identifies by a value a cluster ID.         |
| Sample of    834 observations contained      1 strata defined by    |
|    834 observations (fixed number) in each stratum.                 |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------+
+--------+--------------+----------------+--------+--------+----------+
|Variable| Coefficient  | Standard Error |b/St.Er.|P[|Z|>z]| Mean of X|
+--------+--------------+----------------+--------+--------+----------+
---------+Index function for probability
  Constant|    8.13441449       .97235688     8.366   .0000
  AGE1    |    -.31250626       .13458868    -2.322   .0202   15.6175060
  GIRL1   |    -.26554081    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  RICH    |     .33973482       .01153289    29.458   .0000   -.02167237
  MISEDM  |    -.21837324       .10648913    -2.051   .0403    .10071942
  MOMED   |    -.00288493       .00580012     -.497   .6189   1.52673674
  DADED   |     .02934360    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  MISEDFHH|    -.26316948       .10422245    -2.525   .0116    .16546763
  REGION1 |    -.63593108    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  REGION2 |    -.18266061       .12762061    -1.431   .1524    .05755396
  REGION3 |     .05705597       .44192474      .129   .8973    .05875300
  REGION4 |    -.15384265       .35685256     -.431   .6664    .11510791
  REGION5 |    -.10319191       .32027725     -.322   .7473    .11630695
  REGION6 |    -.15925307       .34317630     -.464   .6426    .04916067
  REGION8 |     .02918756    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  ETHN2   |     .00497250    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  ETHN3   |     .39856760       .14538589     2.741   .0061    .21223022
  ETHN4   |     .72539671    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  ETHN5   |     .29420208    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  ETHN6   |    -.05300107       .18236991     -.291   .7713    .04436451
  RURALF  |    -.27918343    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  YRSDR95 |     .00880528    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  EDDRBAC1|    -.03796261    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  MISDIR95|    1.14741544       .62372666     1.840   .0658    .02038369
  YRSTCHR |    -.00114542    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  TCHBAC  |     .30397634    ......(Fixed Parameter).......
  FTSHARE |    -.31230345       .10813592    -2.888   .0039    .24280575
  GIRL_FT |     .34810059       .35422595      .983   .3258    .10971223
  F1_SUPPL|     .04794771       .07133228      .672   .5015    .00838170
  F1_FAC1 |    -.01430482       .07753319     -.184   .8536   -.06643672
  DISTC   |     .00036505       .00857017      .043   .9660   6.91998082
---------+Threshold parameters for index
  Mu(1)   |     .93564915       .14997002     6.239   .0000
  Mu(2)   |    1.57033181       .10105539    15.539   .0000
  Mu(3)   |    1.97796974       .06884951    28.729   .0000
  Mu(4)   |    2.40797842       .08186716    29.413   .0000
  Mu(5)   |    3.01425959       .12735666    23.668   .0000
  Mu(6)   |    3.02337926       .12906982    23.424   .0000
  Mu(7)   |    3.13413989       .14681578    21.347   .0000




+---------------------------------------------+
| Ordered Probability Model                   |
| Maximum Likelihood Estimates                |
| Model estimated: Jan 31, 2008 at 03:36:50PM.|
| Dependent variable             GRADATT1     |
| Weighting variable                 None     |
| Number of observations              834     |
| Iterations completed                 49     |
| Log likelihood function       -879.4733     |
| Number of parameters                 38     |
| Info. Criterion: AIC =          2.20018     |
|   Finite Sample: AIC =          2.20465     |
| Info. Criterion: BIC =          2.41552     |
| Info. Criterion:HQIC =          2.28274     |
| Restricted log likelihood     -1547.237     |
| McFadden Pseudo R-squared      .4315847     |
| Chi squared                    1335.528     |
| Degrees of freedom                   30     |
| Prob[ChiSqd > value] =         .0000000     |
| Underlying probabilities based on Normal    |
+---------------------------------------------+

| Total observations =    834.0               |
| Uncensored =    306.0, censored =    528.0  |
+---------------------------------------------+
+--------+--------------+----------------+--------+--------+----------+
|Variable| Coefficient  | Standard Error |b/St.Er.|P[|Z|>z]| Mean of X|
+--------+--------------+----------------+--------+--------+----------+
---------+Index function for probability
  Constant|    8.13441449       .87643948     9.281   .0000
  AGE1    |    -.31250626       .05308666    -5.887   .0000   15.6175060
  GIRL1   |    -.26554081       .12228330    -2.172   .0299    .41247002
  RICH    |     .33973482       .08221790     4.132   .0000   -.02167237
  MISEDM  |    -.21837324       .19147133    -1.141   .2541    .10071942
  MOMED   |    -.00288493       .02098014     -.138   .8906   1.52673674
  DADED   |     .02934360       .01423680     2.061   .0393   2.70019039
  MISEDFHH|    -.26316948       .15716786    -1.674   .0940    .16546763
  REGION1 |    -.63593108       .18051299    -3.523   .0004    .18705036
  REGION2 |    -.18266061       .22508431     -.812   .4171    .05755396
  REGION3 |     .05705597       .24942158      .229   .8191    .05875300
  REGION4 |    -.15384265       .21546830     -.714   .4752    .11510791
  REGION5 |    -.10319191       .17454227     -.591   .5544    .11630695
  REGION6 |    -.15925307       .23560296     -.676   .4991    .04916067
  REGION8 |     .02918756       .21983493      .133   .8944    .06714628
  ETHN2   |     .00497250       .13954754      .036   .9716    .19664269
  ETHN3   |     .39856760       .15829931     2.518   .0118    .21223022
  ETHN4   |     .72539671       .25392708     2.857   .0043    .06115108
  ETHN5   |     .29420208       .17842763     1.649   .0992    .12110312
  ETHN6   |    -.05300107       .22580284     -.235   .8144    .04436451
  RURALF  |    -.27918343       .18820756    -1.483   .1380    .56115108
  YRSDR95 |     .00880528       .00672356     1.310   .1903   12.4088729
  EDDRBAC1|    -.03796261       .12763570     -.297   .7661    .53965411
  MISDIR95|    1.14741544       .45896995     2.500   .0124    .02038369
  YRSTCHR |    -.00114542       .00847133     -.135   .8924   11.5313749
  TCHBAC  |     .30397634       .14449243     2.104   .0354    .42865708
  FTSHARE |    -.31230345       .18342327    -1.703   .0886    .24280575
  GIRL_FT |     .34810059       .24338114     1.430   .1526    .10971223
  F1_SUPPL|     .04794771       .03781105     1.268   .2048    .00838170
  F1_FAC1 |    -.01430482       .05127098     -.279   .7802   -.06643672
  DISTC   |     .00036505       .00532954      .068   .9454   6.91998082
---------+Threshold parameters for index
  Mu(1)   |     .93564915       .11284646     8.291   .0000
  Mu(2)   |    1.57033181       .07560000    20.772   .0000
  Mu(3)   |    1.97796974       .06318754    31.303   .0000
  Mu(4)   |    2.40797842       .05591468    43.065   .0000
  Mu(5)   |    3.01425959       .05834226    51.665   .0000
  Mu(6)   |    3.02337926       .05865874    51.542   .0000
  Mu(7)   |    3.13413989       .07964772    39.350   .0000
   
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