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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#212121">Hi everyone,<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:#212121">This week’s speaker in the University of Sydney Philosophy Seminar Series is<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span>Michael Nielsen (University of Sydney).<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:#212121">The title of<span class="apple-converted-space"> Michael</span>’s talk is “Simple Probability”. Here’s the abstract for<span class="apple-converted-space"> the </span>talk:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:#212121">It is widely held that our credences should have the structure of mathematical probabilities and that the probabilistic structure of our credences can be infinitely complex. Against this, I argue that our credences should be simple:
there is a precise sense in which our credences should be of finite complexity. If this conclusion is correct, then many longstanding puzzles in probabilistic epistemology admit of straightforward solutions. In this talk, I will present some of these puzzles,
give my main argument for simplicity, and show you how simplicity solves the puzzles. All of this will be done in a pretty informal, non-technical way, with an emphasis on the philosophical problems rather than the mathematical details. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:#212121">The talk will take place on<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><span class="jtukpc">Wednesday the 4<sup>th</sup></span><span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><span class="jtukpc">of October at 3:30 p.m.</span><span class="apple-converted-space"> </span>in
the Philosophy Seminar Room (N494) in the Quadrangle<span class="apple-converted-space">.<o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
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<span style="color:#212121">The talk will be followed by drinks and informal discussion at a nearby venue. All welcome!<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:#212121">Enquiries about the seminar series can be directed to<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><a href="mailto:ryan.cox@sydney.edu.au" title="mailto:ryan.cox@sydney.edu.au"><span style="color:#0078D7">ryan.cox@sydney.edu.au</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:black">Ryan Cox<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span></span><span style="color:#212121"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:black">Associate Lecturer in Philosophy</span><span style="color:#212121"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:black">Discipline of Philosophy</span><span style="color:#212121"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:black">School of Humanities</span><span style="color:#212121"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:black">University of Sydney</span><span style="color:#212121"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<span style="color:black"><a href="mailto:ryan.cox@sydney.edu.au" title="mailto:ryan.cox@sydney.edu.au"><span style="color:#0078D7">ryan.cox@sydney.edu.au</span></a></span><span style="color:#212121"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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